946
FXUS63 KGRB 141206
AFDGRB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
606 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather this weekend into the middle of next week. Next
  chances for light rain arrive on Thursday.

- Gradual warming trend through next week, with high confidence in
  above normal temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1000 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Persistence forecast of dry weather continues for the better part
of the next week as upper ridge builds and surface high dominates
the eastern CONUS. Next chances for light precip then look to
arrive on Thursday as low pressure skirts the US/Canada border and
trailing cold front tracks through the upper Mississippi Valley.
Dominant precip type should be rain due to temperatures reading
mainly in the 50s. However, potential for measurable precip this
far out in the forecast period remains uncertain due to influence
of high pressure/dry airmass in vicinity. More widespread precip
chances associated with organized low pressure don`t look to
arrive until the end of the work week.

Following a brief period of near average temperatures, gradual
warming trend then sets in at the beginning of the work week as
southerly/return flow takes hold. When all is said and done,
highs will once again be flirting with 60 degrees in/around the
Fox Valley by the end of next week. Ensembles show a tight 25th to
75th percentile spread during this time, lending to a high
confidence forecast for above average temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...for 12Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 606 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

MVFR cigs from lake enhanced clouds prevailed across far northern WI,
impacting KRHI, and along the lakeshore, impacting KGRB and KMTW
at times early this morning. The MVFR cigs will remain in place at
KRHI through late this morning, while the MVFR cigs will occur at
times at KGRB and KMTW. Elsewhere will see VFR cigs or clear skies
this morning. Clouds will then gradually clear from west to east
this afternoon, but clouds may linger over Door County through
the remainder of the TAF period.

Sustained northwest winds should remain under 10 knots throughout
the forecast period, with gusts around 15 kts along the lakeshore
through midday.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION.....Goodin
AVIATION.......Kruk

NWS GRB Office Area Forecast Discussion